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Red101
952813.7
170150.8
759712.3
Blue63
877411.8
438415.8
317538.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877520406010012014016010163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
63Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
101Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.2
50.551.8
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
red by 12.8
38.00.7
37.536.8
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
Second
9528
#39
13.71.2
13.714.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
blue by 2.1
4384
#22
15.80.7
18.217.4
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
7597
#26
12.31.2
13.414.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.0
red by 0.4
8774
#38
11.80.7
13.412.7
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed