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Red75
785611.5
661831.4
125023.5
Blue98
102536.9
557734.9
509019.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5810002040801201401607598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
6Coral scored#12
22Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
40Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
75Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#21
31.40.8
28.829.6
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
blue by 5.5
36.90.3
33.934.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Second
1250
#25
23.50.8
19.420.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 11.4
34.90.3
31.531.8
Auto4.8
Teleop29.1
End1.0
Third
7856
#27
11.50.8
8.99.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 7.9
5090
#15
19.40.3
20.020.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned