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Red74
285116.9
24739.2
967916.5
Blue71
54677.9
657034.7
570826.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80692040601001201407471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
6Processor points0
8Net points16
14Algae points16
57Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
74Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#17
39.20.1
39.739.6
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
red by 4.5
6570
#10
34.70.4
31.331.7
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Second
2851
#24
16.90.1
16.716.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End1.4
blue by 9.1
5708
#34
26.00.4
24.825.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Third
9679
#16
16.50.1
16.516.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.7
red by 8.6
5467
#30
7.90.4
9.710.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed