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Qual 752025 FIM District Ferndale Event presented by Magna
Red95
353856.8
1057712.8
549819.7
Blue171
118835.6
776950.1
3360.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881545010020095171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+52
Endgame+74
Fouls+76
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +59
14Coral scored#23
49Coral points84
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
67Total teleop126
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points2
95Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#3
56.80.1
55.6→55.8
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
blue by 3.6
33
#1
60.41.8
57.6→59.3
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
Second
5498
#32
19.70.1
19.5→19.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
blue by 30.4
7769
#7
50.11.8
48.7→50.4
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
Third
10577
#28
12.80.1
12.6→12.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
blue by 22.8
1188
#12
35.61.8
32.9→34.6
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned