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Red109
553042.2
468023.4
102536.9
Blue99
317538.0
118835.6
285116.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129840608012014016018010999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+2
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
55Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
109Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#11
42.20.2
41.441.6
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
red by 4.2
38.00.1
37.137.2
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
Second
36.90.2
36.136.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
red by 1.3
1188
#12
35.60.1
34.634.8
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End2.2
Third
4680
#29
23.40.2
22.522.7
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
red by 6.4
2851
#24
16.90.1
16.016.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End1.4