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Red99
776950.1
438415.8
170150.8
Blue114
657034.7
661831.4
30232.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139985015020099114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+5
Endgame+13
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
86Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#7
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points2
99Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.5
51.150.7
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
red by 16.1
6570
#10
34.70.4
31.732.1
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Second
50.10.5
50.450.0
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
red by 17.3
302
#14
32.70.4
29.730.1
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Third
4384
#22
15.80.5
16.115.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 15.7
6618
#21
31.40.4
28.428.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5