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Red142
553042.2
468023.4
102536.9
Blue104
776950.1
438415.8
170150.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013550100150200142104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+18Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
34Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
82Total teleop82
Reef
10L4#9
4L3#5
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points2
142Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#11
42.20.8
42.343.1
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
blue by 8.6
50.80.3
51.150.8
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
Second
36.90.8
37.037.8
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
blue by 13.2
50.10.3
50.450.1
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
Third
4680
#29
23.40.8
23.524.3
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
red by 7.6
4384
#22
15.80.3
16.115.8
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0