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Red113
657034.7
661831.4
30232.7
Blue108
317538.0
118835.6
285116.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106996080120140160113108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points42
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
80Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
113Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6570
#10
34.70.4
32.833.3
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
blue by 3.3
38.00.4
37.638.0
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
Second
302
#14
32.70.4
30.931.3
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
blue by 2.8
1188
#12
35.60.4
35.135.6
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End2.2
Third
6618
#21
31.40.4
29.530.0
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
red by 14.5
2851
#24
16.90.4
16.516.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End1.4