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Red165
3360.4
125023.5
353856.8
Blue94
828025.0
341433.8
543635.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157915020016594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+57Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#17
73Coral points61
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
111Total teleop71
Reef
10L4#10
6L3#4
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
165Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
60.40.5
60.561.0
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
red by 25.4
5436
#13
35.00.0
34.534.6
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
Second
56.80.5
56.957.4
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
red by 23.0
33.80.0
33.333.3
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
Third
1250
#25
23.50.5
23.624.1
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 1.4
8280
#20
25.00.0
24.524.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1