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Red142
657034.7
661831.4
30232.7
Blue69
553042.2
468023.4
102536.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081205015020014269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+57Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +57
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points34
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
18Processor points0
20Net points12
38Algae points12
103Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points0
142Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6570
#10
34.70.9
33.334.2
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
blue by 7.5
5530
#11
42.20.9
43.142.2
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
302
#14
32.70.9
31.332.2
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
blue by 4.2
36.90.9
37.836.9
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Third
6618
#21
31.40.9
30.030.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
red by 8.1
4680
#29
23.40.9
24.323.4
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8