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Red199
546088.2
366845.7
213783.8
Blue139
957228.5
30264.1
233777.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248183100150200300350199139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points37
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +29
25Coral scored#18
89Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
125Total teleop96
Reef
9L4#9
12L3#10
8L2#3
7L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
199Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.20.4
88.688.2
Auto20.1
Teleop59.6
End8.6
red by 11.1
77.10.7
77.877.1
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
Second
83.80.4
84.283.8
Auto20.8
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 19.7
302
#2
64.10.7
64.964.1
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
Third
3668
#21
45.70.4
46.145.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.4
End7.0
red by 17.2
9572
#29
28.50.7
29.228.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1