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Red222
546088.2
366845.7
213783.8
Blue122
957228.5
30264.1
233777.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249187100150200300350222122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+58Teleop
+88Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
12Coral scored#6
62Coral points28
65Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +30
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points47
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
24Processor points12
28Net points20
52Algae points32
109Total teleop79
Reef
13L4#7
6L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#26
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +100
12Foul points0
222Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.20.2
88.988.6
Auto20.1
Teleop59.6
End8.6
red by 11.1
77.11.2
79.077.8
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
Second
83.80.2
84.584.2
Auto20.8
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 19.7
302
#2
64.11.2
66.064.9
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
Third
3668
#21
45.70.2
46.346.1
Auto12.3
Teleop26.4
End7.0
red by 17.2
9572
#29
28.51.2
30.429.2
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1