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Red208
957228.5
30264.1
233777.1
Blue187
3373.9
654854.0
584350.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196193160180220240208187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
32Coral points17
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
27Coral scored#27
97Coral points96
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
24Processor points24
20Net points20
44Algae points44
141Total teleop140
Reef
15L4#7
10L3#11
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#39
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
208Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.10.8
78.279.0
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
red by 3.2
33
#25
73.90.2
73.773.9
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
Second
302
#2
64.10.8
65.366.0
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
red by 10.2
6548
#11
54.00.2
53.854.0
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
Third
9572
#29
28.50.8
29.630.4
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
blue by 22.2
50.70.2
50.550.7
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End7.7