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Red64
557735.6
353957.8
779037.9
Blue164
170179.2
364122.7
366739.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18415405010020025030064164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+90
Endgame+96
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points37
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +62
11Coral scored#19
41Coral points69
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
0Processor points18
8Net points24
8Algae points42
49Total teleop111
Reef
5L4#13
4L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points4
64Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#27
57.87.2
59.552.3
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End7.7
blue by 21.4
1701
#17
79.21.1
76.677.6
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
Second
7790
#34
37.97.2
52.044.8
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End3.6
blue by 1.6
3667
#12
39.51.1
37.038.1
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.4
Third
5577
#24
35.67.2
48.741.5
Auto5.9
Teleop28.4
End1.4
red by 12.9
3641
#13
22.71.1
19.220.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed