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Red181
584350.7
233777.1
283257.4
Blue111
957228.5
150646.2
46949.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224128050100150200250300181111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +39
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points40
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
111Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#3
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
181Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.11.0
87.786.7
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
red by 27.3
469
#23
49.80.9
50.749.8
Auto13.1
Teleop32.5
End4.1
Second
57.41.0
51.350.3
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
red by 11.3
46.20.9
42.741.9
Auto17.1
Teleop23.5
End5.5
Third
50.71.0
50.449.4
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End7.7
red by 22.2
9572
#29
28.50.9
25.424.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned