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Red139
654854.0
317542.7
552717.2
Blue146
608146.9
686134.0
332242.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120121100110130140139146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+27Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points6
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
91Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points2
139Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#11
54.00.6
54.755.3
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
red by 7.0
46.90.6
43.844.4
Auto3.5
Teleop35.5
End7.9
Second
3175
#31
42.70.6
35.636.2
Auto11.7
Teleop27.8
End3.3
blue by 0.1
3322
#20
42.90.6
44.244.8
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End7.6
Third
5527
#33
17.20.6
18.519.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.0
blue by 16.9
34.00.6
26.226.8
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned