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Qual 122025 Kettering Kickoff (Day 2)
Red66
612035.0
54845.5
553111.4
Blue103
353852.2
481031.7
24725.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10913305015020025030066103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+35
Endgame+23
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points35
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
41Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points14
66Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#22
45.52.3
52.3→50.0
Auto7.5
Teleop33.1
End4.9
blue by 6.7
3538
#26
52.21.9
51.7→49.8
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End1.2
Second
6120
#18
35.02.3
31.5→29.1
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5
red by 3.3
4810
#15
31.71.9
30.9→29.0
Auto4.9
Teleop25.6
End1.3
Third
5531
#35
11.42.3
17.0→14.6
Auto1.0
Teleop10.7
End-0.3
blue by 13.7
247
#37
25.11.9
34.9→33.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed