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Red159
10724.3
30264.1
283257.4
Blue126
477935.6
725031.5
654854.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169133050100150200250300350159126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +26
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points58
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
122Total teleop96
Reef
13L4#7
6L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
159Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#2
64.10.0
62.162.1
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
red by 10.2
6548
#11
54.00.4
55.354.9
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
Second
57.40.0
50.350.3
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
red by 21.9
4779
#19
35.60.4
40.039.6
Auto6.0
Teleop25.2
End4.3
Third
107
#30
24.30.0
32.332.3
Auto3.7
Teleop21.0
End-0.4
blue by 7.2
7250
#10
31.50.4
27.727.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed