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Red186
957228.5
170179.2
353957.8
Blue200
150646.2
213783.8
686134.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190176050100150250300186200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
10Coral scored#11
51Coral points55
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +3
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
18Processor points18
16Net points24
34Algae points42
119Total teleop116
Reef
13L4#12
10L3#11
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
186Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#17
79.21.2
77.678.8
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
blue by 4.6
83.82.6
78.681.2
Auto20.8
Teleop52.3
End10.7
Second
3539
#27
57.81.2
52.353.5
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 11.6
1506
#9Sur
46.22.6
41.944.5
Auto17.1
Teleop23.5
End5.5
Third
9572
#29Sur
28.51.2
24.525.7
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
blue by 5.5
34.02.6
26.829.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned