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Qual 152025 Kettering Kickoff (Day 2)
Red149
317542.7
366739.5
365655.3
Blue108
2757.4
439230.1
364122.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412050100200149108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave6
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
37Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
86Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
149Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#32
55.30.7
56.1→56.8
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End9.2
blue by 2.1
27
#16Sur
57.41.1
64.2→63.1
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End9.5
Second
3175
#31Sur
42.70.7
36.2→36.9
Auto11.7
Teleop27.8
End3.3
red by 12.7
4392
#38
30.11.1
31.3→30.2
Auto3.6
Teleop25.7
End0.8
Third
3667
#12
39.50.7
38.1→38.7
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.4
red by 16.8
3641
#13
22.71.1
20.3→19.2
Auto4.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned