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Red131
3373.9
557735.6
608146.9
Blue138
584350.7
612035.0
481031.7
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197112050150250300131138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#20
66Coral points72
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
24Processor points12
28Net points8
52Algae points20
118Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#8
7L3#5
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
131Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#25
73.93.0
75.972.9
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
red by 23.1
50.71.2
49.450.7
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End7.7
Second
46.93.0
44.441.4
Auto3.5
Teleop35.5
End7.9
red by 11.9
6120
#18
35.01.2
29.130.4
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5
Third
5577
#24
35.63.0
41.538.6
Auto5.9
Teleop28.4
End1.4
red by 3.9
4810
#15
31.71.2
29.030.2
Auto4.9
Teleop25.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned