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Red78
749122.0
46949.8
24725.1
Blue95
725031.5
30264.1
779037.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291640501001502002507895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+21
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
61Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
78Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#23
49.83.0
49.846.9
Auto13.1
Teleop32.5
End4.1
blue by 14.4
302
#2
64.13.5
62.158.5
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
Second
247
#37
25.13.0
33.030.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End5.4
blue by 12.8
7790
#34
37.93.5
44.841.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End3.6
Third
7491
#36
22.03.0
25.622.6
Auto1.6
Teleop17.2
End3.2
blue by 9.5
7250
#10
31.53.5
27.323.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed