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Qual 192025 Kettering Kickoff (Day 2)
Red115
552717.2
722043.1
54845.5
Blue135
553111.4
233777.1
477935.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113174050100150200250115135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+12
0Endgame0
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
78Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points20
115Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#22
45.50.3
50.0→49.7
Auto7.5
Teleop33.1
End4.9
blue by 31.6
2337
#7
77.12.5
86.7→84.2
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
Second
7220
#14
43.10.3
37.8→37.6
Auto8.4
Teleop29.3
End5.4
red by 7.5
4779
#19
35.62.5
39.6→37.1
Auto6.0
Teleop25.2
End4.3
Third
5527
#33
17.20.3
19.2→18.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.0
red by 5.8
5531
#35
11.42.5
14.6→12.1
Auto1.0
Teleop10.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed