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Red172
2757.4
654854.0
213783.8
Blue134
283257.4
557735.6
612035.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238122050100150200300350172134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave0
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points16
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
23Coral scored#16
82Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
106Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#6
10L3#6
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points0
172Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.82.7
81.278.5
Auto20.8
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 26.4
57.40.2
50.350.6
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
Second
27
#16
57.42.7
63.160.4
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End9.5
red by 21.8
5577
#24
35.60.2
38.638.8
Auto5.9
Teleop28.4
End1.4
Third
6548
#11
54.02.7
54.952.2
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
red by 19.0
6120
#18
35.00.2
30.430.6
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned