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Red179
686134.0
365655.3
30264.1
Blue187
46949.8
3373.9
584350.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1602030100300400500179187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +22
16Coral scored#22
56Coral points78
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
18Processor points18
28Net points28
46Algae points46
102Total teleop124
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#10
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
179Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#2
64.11.5
58.560.1
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
blue by 9.7
33
#25
73.90.4
72.973.3
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
Second
3656
#32
55.31.5
56.858.3
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End9.2
red by 4.6
50.70.4
50.751.0
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End7.7
Third
34.01.5
29.430.9
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End6.4
blue by 15.7
469
#23
49.80.4
46.947.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned