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Red193
481031.7
353957.8
546088.2
Blue138
366845.7
722043.1
233777.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18819350100150250300193138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+47Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points36
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +60
25Coral scored#16
90Coral points58
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
146Total teleop86
Reef
13L4#10
6L3#4
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
193Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.20.4
85.886.2
Auto20.1
Teleop59.6
End8.6
red by 11.1
77.13.3
84.280.9
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
Second
3539
#27
57.80.4
53.553.9
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 12.1
3668
#21
45.73.3
53.750.4
Auto12.3
Teleop26.4
End7.0
Third
4810
#15
31.70.4
30.230.7
Auto4.9
Teleop25.6
End1.3
blue by 11.4
7220
#14
43.13.3
37.634.3
Auto8.4
Teleop29.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned