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Red103
439230.1
10724.3
6852.6
Blue121
54845.5
584350.7
686134.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127148406080100140160180200103121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+6
Endgame+26
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
85Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
8Foul points0
103Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#28
52.62.6
58.756.1
Auto15.1
Teleop30.6
End7.0
red by 1.9
50.71.7
51.049.3
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End7.7
Second
4392
#38
30.12.6
30.227.6
Auto3.6
Teleop25.7
End0.8
blue by 15.4
548
#22
45.51.7
49.748.0
Auto7.5
Teleop33.1
End4.9
Third
107
#30
24.32.6
27.525.0
Auto3.7
Teleop21.0
End-0.4
blue by 9.8
34.01.7
30.929.2
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned