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Red103
557735.6
2757.4
957228.5
Blue95
477935.6
24725.1
3373.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401635010020025010395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
66Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#4
7L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
103Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#16
57.41.3
60.459.1
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End9.5
blue by 16.4
33
#25
73.92.8
73.370.4
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
Second
5577
#24
35.61.3
38.837.5
Auto5.9
Teleop28.4
End1.4
red by 0.1
4779
#19
35.62.8
36.633.8
Auto6.0
Teleop25.2
End4.3
Third
9572
#29
28.51.3
23.322.0
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
red by 3.4
247
#37
25.12.8
27.724.9
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned