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Qual 282025 Kettering Kickoff (Day 2)
Red164
366739.5
283257.4
353852.2
Blue122
317542.7
725031.5
749122.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16791050150200250164122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
21Coral scored#21
75Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
6Processor points12
32Net points16
38Algae points28
113Total teleop104
Reef
10L4#12
7L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
164Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#5
57.40.4
50.6→51.0
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
red by 14.7
3175
#31
42.71.2
36.4→37.6
Auto11.7
Teleop27.8
End3.3
Second
3538
#26
52.20.4
51.2→51.7
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End1.2
red by 20.7
7250
#10
31.51.2
26.6→27.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.5
End0.2
Third
3667
#12
39.50.4
36.5→36.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.4
red by 17.5
7491
#36
22.01.2
21.5→22.6
Auto1.6
Teleop17.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed