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Qual 292025 Kettering Kickoff (Day 2)
Red96
553111.4
366845.7
46949.8
Blue146
654854.0
608146.9
150646.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251635010015020096146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +38
0Leave3
2Coral scored#9
9Coral points44
9Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
83Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
96Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#23
49.81.2
47.2→46.0
Auto13.1
Teleop32.5
End4.1
blue by 4.2
6548
#11
54.00.1
52.2→52.3
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
Second
3668
#21
45.71.2
50.4→49.2
Auto12.3
Teleop26.4
End7.0
blue by 1.3
6081
#8
46.90.1
39.1→39.2
Auto3.5
Teleop35.5
End7.9
Third
5531
#35
11.41.2
10.9→9.7
Auto1.0
Teleop10.7
End-0.3
blue by 34.8
1506
#9
46.20.1
47.3→47.4
Auto17.1
Teleop23.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned