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Red148
722043.1
612035.0
353957.8
Blue146
779037.9
332242.9
365655.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134163050100150200250148146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#17
57Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
81Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
148Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#27
57.81.5
53.955.5
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 2.5
3656
#32
55.30.0
58.358.4
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End9.2
Second
7220
#14
43.11.5
34.335.8
Auto8.4
Teleop29.3
End5.4
red by 0.2
3322
#20
42.90.0
42.943.0
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End7.6
Third
6120
#18
35.01.5
30.632.1
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5
blue by 2.9
7790
#34
37.90.0
39.239.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned