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Red149
170179.2
552717.2
150646.2
Blue88
957228.5
6852.6
612035.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1691485010020025030014988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +47
19Coral scored#8
68Coral points29
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
96Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#3
7L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
149Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#17
79.20.2
76.876.6
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
red by 26.6
68
#28
52.63.7
67.663.9
Auto15.1
Teleop30.6
End7.0
Second
46.20.2
43.042.7
Auto17.1
Teleop23.5
End5.5
red by 11.2
6120
#18
35.03.7
35.231.5
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5
Third
5527
#33
17.20.2
18.818.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.0
blue by 11.3
9572
#29
28.53.7
29.125.4
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned