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Red80
481031.7
366739.5
332242.9
Blue127
283257.4
686134.0
654854.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291495010020025080127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+49
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +49
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
48Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#11
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
80Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#20
42.92.7
46.944.2
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End7.6
blue by 14.6
57.40.4
51.751.3
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
Second
3667
#12
39.52.7
39.737.0
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.4
blue by 14.5
6548
#11
54.00.4
55.254.7
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
Third
4810
#15
31.72.7
33.630.9
Auto4.9
Teleop25.6
End1.3
blue by 2.3
34.00.4
26.626.2
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned