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Red76
722043.1
477935.6
557735.6
Blue57
46949.8
353852.2
439230.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581760501002002503003507657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+7Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
47Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
76Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7220
#14
43.14.3
43.639.3
Auto8.4
Teleop29.3
End5.4
blue by 9.1
3538
#26
52.26.5
58.251.7
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End1.2
Second
5577
#24
35.64.3
53.048.7
Auto5.9
Teleop28.4
End1.4
blue by 14.1
469
#23
49.86.5
57.250.7
Auto13.1
Teleop32.5
End4.1
Third
4779
#19
35.64.3
44.340.0
Auto6.0
Teleop25.2
End4.3
red by 5.5
4392
#38
30.16.5
38.432.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed