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Red39
24725.1
553111.4
779037.9
Blue52
364122.7
3373.9
10724.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311770501001502002503003952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
31Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points4
39Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#34
37.95.7
57.652.0
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End3.6
blue by 35.9
33
#25
73.96.9
83.576.6
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
Second
247
#37
25.15.7
40.634.9
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End5.4
red by 0.9
107
#30
24.36.9
39.232.3
Auto3.7
Teleop21.0
End-0.4
Third
5531
#35
11.45.7
22.617.0
Auto1.0
Teleop10.7
End-0.3
blue by 11.3
3641
#13
22.76.9
26.119.2
Auto4.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed