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Red142
608146.9
779037.9
957228.5
Blue184
546088.2
654854.0
54845.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98214050150200250300142184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+62
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave0
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points51
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +27
17Coral scored#28
60Coral points99
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
100Total teleop127
Reef
8L4#11
5L3#10
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#10
28Game pieces#44
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
142Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.92.0
39.241.2
Auto3.5
Teleop35.5
End7.9
blue by 41.2
88.21.0
89.388.2
Auto20.1
Teleop59.6
End8.6
Second
7790
#34
37.92.0
39.241.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End3.6
blue by 16.0
6548
#11
54.01.0
52.351.3
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
Third
9572
#29
28.52.0
22.024.1
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
blue by 17.0
548
#22
45.51.0
46.645.5
Auto7.5
Teleop33.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed