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Red198
3373.9
353852.2
2757.4
Blue208
332242.9
233777.1
170179.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197226100150250300198208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
6Coral scored#11
31Coral points55
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +11
30Coral scored#27
109Coral points98
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#2
6Processor points18
20Net points8
26Algae points26
135Total teleop124
Reef
16L4#15
11L3#9
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#8
42Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
198Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#25
73.90.8
70.471.2
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
blue by 5.3
1701
#17
79.20.2
76.176.3
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
Second
27
#16
57.40.8
59.159.9
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End9.5
blue by 19.7
77.10.2
80.380.4
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
Third
3538
#26
52.20.8
51.752.4
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End1.2
red by 9.3
3322
#20
42.90.2
43.043.1
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned