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Red170
30264.1
46949.8
481031.7
Blue111
353957.8
552717.2
439230.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168112050100150200250170111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +61
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points51
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
126Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
170Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#2
64.11.2
63.264.3
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
red by 6.4
3539
#27
57.80.0
55.555.4
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Second
469
#23
49.81.2
46.047.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.5
End4.1
red by 19.7
4392
#38
30.10.0
28.028.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.7
End0.8
Third
4810
#15
31.71.2
29.230.3
Auto4.9
Teleop25.6
End1.3
red by 14.6
5527
#33
17.20.0
16.116.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned