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Red121
317542.7
957228.5
481031.7
Blue167
30264.1
150646.2
2757.4
6%Model gave it94%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94194050150250300121167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+34
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave0
5Coral scored#10
23Coral points51
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +6
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
94Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#9
10L3#10
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
121Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#31
42.71.4
40.141.5
Auto11.7
Teleop27.8
End3.3
blue by 21.4
302
#2
64.10.2
64.364.2
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
Second
4810
#15
31.71.4
30.331.7
Auto4.9
Teleop25.6
End1.3
blue by 25.7
27
#16
57.40.2
56.656.4
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End9.5
Third
9572
#29
28.51.4
27.228.6
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
blue by 17.7
46.20.2
45.345.2
Auto17.1
Teleop23.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned