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Red190
439230.1
170179.2
722043.1
Blue198
24725.1
283257.4
608146.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168125050100150200250190198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
31Coral scored#29
110Coral points103
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#4
18Processor points30
20Net points16
38Algae points46
148Total teleop149
Reef
10L4#12
11L3#9
7L2#7
8L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
190Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#17
79.22.1
76.378.4
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
red by 21.8
57.44.5
52.256.6
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
Second
7220
#14
43.12.1
37.439.5
Auto8.4
Teleop29.3
End5.4
blue by 3.9
46.94.5
41.245.7
Auto3.5
Teleop35.5
End7.9
Third
4392
#38
30.12.1
28.030.1
Auto3.6
Teleop25.7
End0.8
red by 4.9
247
#37
25.14.5
20.625.1
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned