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Red175
332242.9
546088.2
612035.0
Blue209
725031.5
46949.8
213783.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190184140160200220175209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+42
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points42
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +21
23Coral scored#32
81Coral points116
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
12Processor points6
28Net points20
40Algae points26
121Total teleop142
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#15
6L2#9
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#46
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
175Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.20.1
88.288.1
Auto20.1
Teleop59.6
End8.6
red by 4.4
83.82.7
81.083.7
Auto20.8
Teleop52.3
End10.7
Second
3322
#20
42.90.1
43.143.0
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End7.6
blue by 6.9
469
#23
49.82.7
47.249.9
Auto13.1
Teleop32.5
End4.1
Third
6120
#18
35.00.1
34.334.2
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5
red by 3.5
7250
#10
31.52.7
28.931.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned