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Red194
3373.9
654854.0
584350.7
Blue178
170179.2
283257.4
612035.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20119504006008001,0001,2001,4001,600194178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
10Coral scored#6
52Coral points30
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points70
4Processor algae#7
7Net algae#5
24Processor points42
28Net points20
52Algae points62
120Total teleop132
Reef
7L4#11
9L3#4
6L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
194Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#25
73.90.4
72.773.1
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
blue by 5.3
1701
#17
79.20.2
79.179.2
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
Second
6548
#11
54.00.4
52.853.2
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
blue by 3.5
57.40.2
57.357.4
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
Third
50.70.4
49.550.0
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End7.7
red by 15.7
6120
#18
35.00.2
34.935.0
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5