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Red220
546088.2
366845.7
213783.8
Blue178
957228.5
30264.1
233777.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251187100150300350220178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+20Teleop
+40Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
11Coral scored#6
56Coral points31
65Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
21Coral scored#27
75Coral points97
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
113Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#10
10L3#9
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#7
40Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points4
220Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.20.1
89.088.9
Auto20.1
Teleop59.6
End8.6
red by 11.1
77.10.0
78.278.2
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
Second
83.80.1
84.684.5
Auto20.8
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 19.7
302
#2
64.10.0
65.265.3
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
Third
3668
#21
45.70.1
46.546.3
Auto12.3
Teleop26.4
End7.0
red by 17.2
9572
#29
28.50.0
29.629.6
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1