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Red172
654854.0
3373.9
584350.7
Blue168
317542.7
608146.9
365655.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208153050100250300350172168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+14Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points27
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
21Coral scored#24
74Coral points88
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
108Total teleop122
Reef
14L4#12
9L3#8
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
172Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#25
73.90.2
74.374.1
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
red by 18.6
3656
#32
55.30.6
54.154.7
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End9.2
Second
6548
#11
54.00.2
54.454.2
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
red by 7.0
46.90.6
45.746.3
Auto3.5
Teleop35.5
End7.9
Third
50.70.2
51.251.0
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End7.7
red by 8.0
3175
#31
42.70.6
41.542.1
Auto11.7
Teleop27.8
End3.3