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Red103
332242.9
725031.5
46949.8
Blue199
170179.2
283257.4
612035.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13920250100250300103199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+76
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +55
14Coral scored#23
50Coral points81
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
12Processor points24
12Net points24
24Algae points48
74Total teleop129
Reef
6L4#13
6L3#7
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points0
103Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#23
49.80.6
50.349.8
Auto13.1
Teleop32.5
End4.1
blue by 29.5
1701
#17
79.20.6
78.579.1
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
Second
3322
#20
42.90.6
43.442.9
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End7.6
blue by 14.6
57.40.6
56.757.3
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
Third
7250
#10
31.50.6
32.031.5
Auto5.8
Teleop25.5
End0.2
blue by 3.5
6120
#18
35.00.6
34.334.9
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5