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Red182
2757.4
353852.2
150646.2
Blue172
317542.7
608146.9
365655.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158158120140180200182172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+2Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points20
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +16
16Coral scored#28
58Coral points100
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
24Processor points18
32Net points12
56Algae points30
114Total teleop130
Reef
13L4#13
6L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#7
37Game pieces#38
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
182Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#16
57.40.6
56.757.3
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End9.5
red by 2.1
3656
#32
55.30.6
54.755.3
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End9.2
Second
3538
#26
52.20.6
51.452.0
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End1.2
red by 5.2
46.90.6
46.346.9
Auto3.5
Teleop35.5
End7.9
Third
46.20.6
45.446.1
Auto17.1
Teleop23.5
End5.5
red by 3.4
3175
#31
42.70.6
42.142.7
Auto11.7
Teleop27.8
End3.3