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Red240
546088.2
366845.7
213783.8
Blue135
353957.8
686134.0
722043.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25913450100150200300350240135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+85Teleop
+105Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
9Leave6
11Coral scored#4
56Coral points20
65Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +46
29Coral scored#17
103Coral points61
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
24Processor points12
12Net points20
36Algae points32
139Total teleop93
Reef
12L4#6
11L3#7
11L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points0
240Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.20.5
88.589.0
Auto20.1
Teleop59.6
End8.6
red by 30.4
3539
#27
57.80.2
55.155.3
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Second
83.80.5
84.184.6
Auto20.8
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 40.7
7220
#14
43.10.2
40.540.6
Auto8.4
Teleop29.3
End5.4
Third
3668
#21
45.70.5
46.046.5
Auto12.3
Teleop26.4
End7.0
red by 11.6
34.00.2
31.431.6
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End6.4