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Red190
957228.5
30264.1
233777.1
Blue113
654854.0
3373.9
584350.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199198120140160180220240190113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+69Teleop
+71Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points11
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +52
25Coral scored#14
89Coral points49
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
18Processor points6
24Net points24
42Algae points30
131Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#4
10L3#5
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +77
6Foul points0
190Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.10.3
77.978.2
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
red by 3.2
33
#25
73.91.5
74.172.7
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
Second
302
#2
64.10.3
65.065.2
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
red by 10.2
6548
#11
54.01.5
54.252.8
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
Third
9572
#29
28.50.3
29.429.6
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
blue by 22.2
50.71.5
51.049.5
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End7.7