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Red65
149854.3
89436.7
998013.1
Blue103
168441.0
150429.0
364124.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710205015020065103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +36
8Coral scored#14
27Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
35Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
65Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#22
54.32.4
53.651.2
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
red by 13.3
1684
#25
41.00.3
35.836.1
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
Second
894
#30
36.72.4
33.130.7
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End8.0
red by 7.7
1504
#24
29.00.3
34.234.5
Auto4.4
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Third
9980
#32
13.14.1
14.910.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 11.6
3641
#12
24.80.3
22.622.9
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsEarned