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Red107
778423.2
584358.2
842621.3
Blue137
6783.0
24555.8
132217.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101188050150250107137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+36
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +41
15Coral scored#22
53Coral points78
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
81Total teleop122
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
6Foul points0
107Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#10
58.20.2
51.651.4
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
blue by 24.8
67
#1
83.01.6
78.677.0
Auto18.2
Teleop56.8
End8.1
Second
7784
#27
23.20.2
25.325.1
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End2.9
blue by 32.7
245
#11
55.81.6
53.251.7
Auto10.7
Teleop38.2
End6.9
Third
8426
#17
21.30.2
18.518.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End2.0
red by 4.2
1322
#31
17.11.6
20.619.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed